What does a housing association鈥檚 credit rating actually mean?
What is a credit rating?
A credit rating is a rating agency鈥檚 opinion of the creditworthiness of a borrower.
When an RSL wants to borrow money through a bond issue, it will usually group together with other RSLs and use a 鈥渟pecial purpose vehicle鈥, a company set up to issue the bonds. The vehicle will be credit rated by a rating agency 鈥 for RSLs, this is usually Moody鈥檚 Investors Service or Standard & Poor鈥檚.
The agency will also assess the credit rating of the RSLs that borrow from that vehicle to ensure they are acceptable. This will not normally be published and the cost is included in the price of setting up the vehicle.
But if an RSL is to issue bonds in its own name 鈥 for example, if it needs a lot of money (拢200m plus) 鈥 or if it wants to demonstrate its strength when winning tenders or looking for merger partners, it may pay an agency to do a credit rating.
If it is pleased with the rating, it will make this public.
What sort of organisations are interested in a housing association鈥檚 credit rating?
Investors in RSL bonds, such as pension funds and insurance companies, are interested in the credit rating of the bond issuer (the special vehicle or the RSL). Banks that are not familiar with the sector could also use credit ratings to decide whether to lend to housing associations. Before making a loan, a bank would perform an examination of a potential borrower鈥檚 credit privately, but would be mindful of any external rating available for that organisation.
An RSL鈥檚 quality of credit, whether externally rated or not, will affect its cost of borrowing. What may appear to be small variations in ratings will affect the price; a very important factor to the RSL.
What do the ratings mean?
Different agencies鈥 ratings have slightly different meanings. Standard & Poor鈥檚 rating of 鈥淎AA鈥 is its highest, meaning the borrower鈥檚 capacity to meet its obligations is 鈥渆xtremely strong鈥. Different levels reflect subtle distinctions in credit quality, so 鈥淎A鈥 means the borrower鈥檚 ability to meet its debts is 鈥渧ery strong鈥. 鈥淏鈥 indicates increasing levels of concern about the organisation or the market in which it operates. 鈥淐鈥 indicates the organisation represents a high risk in respect of non-payment of obligations. A rating of 鈥淒鈥 refers to a borrower in default on payments or filing for bankruptcy.
Moody鈥檚 equivalent to S&P鈥檚 鈥淎AA鈥 is 鈥淎aa鈥. Its lowest category is 鈥淐鈥 and it has a series of numbering levels to reflect risk so 鈥淐3鈥 is lowest. Both agencies use + and 鈥 to show smaller variations and the rating may also comment on the market the borrower operates in with terms like 鈥渟table outlook鈥.
Agencies and lenders look for a borrower's ability to meet its obligations and withstand internal or external detrimental factors
What do the credit rating agencies look for in a housing association?
Agencies and lenders are looking for the ability of the borrower to meet its obligations and withstand any internal or external detrimental factors. Ratings agencies look to various factors when assessing credit quality. These include the organisation鈥檚 financial performance, asset strength and management, including the quality of the executive and the board, the type of social housing provision and the geographic spread of business and likely demand for its services.
What areas should an association try to improve if it gets a bad rating?
An organisation can usually try to improve its rating through better management and financial standing. These improvements would affect its ability to arrange all forms of private finance and not just those reliant on external ratings. The geographical areas of operation and type of social housing mix are fundamental to the organisation. So change is difficult. Change and improvement in these areas, if needed, could be brought about through a merger.
How much does a rating cost?
Initial credit ratings cost about 拢25,000 and there鈥檚 an ongoing fee of between 拢5,000 and 拢10,000 a year depending on the complexity of the organisation. Ratings are monitored on an ongoing basis.
An RSL鈥檚 performance or circumstances could change at any time and the credit rating would reflect that change. The change could be specific, such as an advantageous merger, or generic, such as a change in the regulatory regime.
For example, if a change to the housing benefit regime made future rent revenues less certain.
When might an association be interested in a bank鈥檚 credit rating?
If an RSL has surplus cash it can lend to a bank it can use the bank鈥檚 credit rating to assess the risk: a high credit rating means there is low risk the lender will go bankrupt. We recommend Fitch Ratings UK鈥檚 Support Rating 1 or 2: this implies central government would intervene to stop the bank鈥檚 failure because of its importance to the UK economy.
Ratings rundown
- A credit rating is an independent assessment of an RSL鈥檚 creditworthiness
- An RSL鈥檚 rating would only be made public if it wanted it to be
- It is useful to potential investors in bonds 鈥 such as pension funds and insurance companies 鈥 and an indication of strength for potential merger partners or banks new to the sector
- A rating costs about 拢25,000, plus 拢5,000 to 拢10,000 a year
- Three As are good; a C or D rating is very, very bad
- A credit rating is not a recommendation to purchase a bond or loan: just because the RSL is creditworthy, doesn鈥檛 necessarily mean the price is right
Source
Housing Today
Postscript
Richard Williams is director of social housing consultant Beha Williams Norman
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